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Consider two pitching staffs of two teams, Team A and Team B. Team B has recorded more strikeouts, therefore fewer opposing batters hit balls into the field of play. Edge to the pitching staff of Team B. Team B walks fewer people, and by a material amount. Players that don’t walk can’t score on subsequent hits. Edge to Team B. Of the balls that were hit into play, exactly the same percentage were hit on the ground and for all intents and purposes the same percentage of fly balls were hit to the outfield. However the line drive and pop up rates are different. Line drives fall for hits more often than any other type of hit while pop ups are always caught (Mets fielders excepted.) Due to fewer line drives allowed and more pop ups induced, a final, significant edge goes to Team B’s pitching staff. Which team has given up more runs?


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